Some essential points from the video (with data to back them up):
- It's not population growth or sluggish construction that drives house prices.
- Money pressure and booming credit drives house prices.
- Stagnant credit causes house prices to go down.
- Accelerating mortgage debt leads house prices by 2-4 months.
- Australia has a bigger housing bubble than the US had.
- Australian banks are not responsible lenders than the American banks, nor are they more financially sound.
- "It's not people that buy houses, it's people with mortgages that buy houses."
- "Rising house prices require accelerating debt."
- "The first home vendor's boost, when the government gave $7,000 to first home buyers, who then leveraged it up at the bank, and bid $100,000 extra dollars more, and handed it over to the vendors."
- "We are in the biggest, debt financed, asset bubble in human history, and I'm afraid, I think you'll ignore it at your peril."
Cool but scary, humans are notorious for seeing the tree but not the forest, this is going to be a big bust.
ReplyDeleteThe Government isn't going to pop this balloon, they see nothing in it for themselves.