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Australian Housing Bubble - Change in Debt

Here is a link to Steve Keen's recent presentation to a debate re the Australian Property Market

Some essential points from the video (with data to back them up):

  • It's not population growth or sluggish construction that drives house prices.
  • Money pressure and booming credit drives house prices.
  • Stagnant credit causes house prices to go down.
  • Accelerating mortgage debt leads house prices by 2-4 months.
  • Australia has a bigger housing bubble than the US had.
  • Australian banks are not responsible lenders than the American banks, nor are they more financially sound.
Some cool quotes:
  • "It's not people that buy houses, it's people with mortgages that buy houses."
  • "Rising house prices require accelerating debt."
  • "The first home vendor's boost, when the government gave $7,000 to first home buyers, who then leveraged it up at the bank, and bid $100,000 extra dollars more, and handed it over to the vendors."
  • "We are in the biggest, debt financed, asset bubble in human history, and I'm afraid, I think you'll ignore it at your peril." 

1 comment:

  1. Cool but scary, humans are notorious for seeing the tree but not the forest, this is going to be a big bust.
    The Government isn't going to pop this balloon, they see nothing in it for themselves.

    ReplyDelete