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Summary: A top down look at the year ahead, Saul Eslake

Here's a quick summary of the following ASX Investor hour presentation.

Topic:  A top down look at the year ahead, Saul Eslake, Grattan Institute

Australian Economy:
  • Linked to mining, which is linked to China.
  • Australian is the only country to supply 3 main China commodities: Iron Ore, Coal, Gas.
  • Strength to continue for a number of years.
  • Low government debt compared to other "Advanced" economies.
Housing:
  • Does not see much growth in 2011
  • But does not think that a crash is likely
  • Will see growth beyond 2011.
Inflation:
  • Does not see inflation in the near future as a major problem. 
Interest Rates:
  • Thinks they will remain constant for 6 months
  • Maybe 1 or 2 rises later in 2011.

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